Incidence rates were higher for cohorts that underwent HCC surveillance versus those that did not undergo surveillance, suggesting that such programs offer significant benefit, lead author Daniel Q. Huang, MBBS, of the University of California, San Diego, and colleagues reported.
National University of Singapore
Dr. Daniel Q. Huang
“A systematic review of the incidence of HCC among patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis has not been reported,” the investigators wrote in Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology, prompting the present research.
Previous studies have described a broad range of annual incidence findings for HCC in this population, from 0.6% to 5.6%, suggesting that a systematic approach was needed.
To this end, Dr. Huang and colleagues analyzed data from 18 studies that involved 148,333 patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis. The primary analysis aimed to determine cumulative incidence rates over time, while the secondary analysis characterized the impact of participation in HCC surveillance programs.
“This meta-analysis used reconstructed individual participant data, which is considered to be the gold standard for reporting survival data because it accounts for censoring of events,” the investigators noted. “The current study provides important data that are useful for clinical practice and clinical trial design.”
The cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 1%, 3%, and 9% at 1 year, 5 years, and 10 years, respectively. Among 12 of the risk factors studied, smoking, diabetes, and decompensation were all significantly associated with rate of HCC.
“Therefore, patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis should be screened for diabetes to identify the patients at high risk for HCC development,” the investigators wrote. “In addition, patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis should be advised to stop smoking, while patients with hepatic decompensation should be monitored carefully for the development of HCC if clinically appropriate.”
The secondary analysis showed that HCC incidence rates were higher among patients participating in HCC surveillance programs than those who did not participate (18.6 vs. 4.8 per 1,000 person-years; P = .001).
“Patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis are known to have lower HCC surveillance rates, which may be related to poor disease awareness, clinic time constraints caused by other active medical issues, and provider beliefs regarding the likelihood of adherence,” the investigators noted.
Increased efforts are needed to promote surveillance in this population, they added, suggesting a range of communication pathways, including social media, traditional news outlets, and direct mailing.
Dr. Huang and colleagues also suggested that the findings should be validated in large prospective studies.
The study was funded by the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, and others. Dr. Huang disclosed funding from the Singapore Ministry of Health’s National Medical Research Council.